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Blissex's avatar

Very interesting overview with many amusing details both as to the history and to the writing and materials used.

«Assessing the roles played by different leaders in rural reform is an unusually complex task. Take Zhao Ziyang and Wan Li. It requires comparing the distinctive features of Sichuan’s and Anhui’s reforms before 1980, tracing the differences of opinion before the release of the 1980 Central Document No. 75 and the 1982 No. 1 Central Document, and reckoning with power struggles at the top echelon that went beyond the policies themselves. Once Hu Yaobang’s and Deng Xiaoping’s roles are added, the narrative becomes even harder to handle.»

I am impressed that Zhao ZiYang is mentioned extensively in this article; my shallow understanding is that his role was very important indeed; Zhao ShuKai is most likely much better informed than meas to Hu's direct role but I was greatly impressed by Zhao ZiYang's unofficial memoirs (in particular I regard part 3 of them about the development policy as far more important than the previous parts about the June 1989 events in BeiJing that were I reckon as fairly minor). Some quotes also mentioning the Dazhai and Lankao experiments:

“On my way back through Greece, comrades in the embassy accompanied me for a tour of the hilly regions where the weather was dry and there was no rainfall in the summer. According to our approach, the conditions would have been considered very tough for agriculture. We would have replicated the Dazhai model, using terraced fields and irrigation projects. But they did not do that. The hills were covered with olive trees and the olive oil industry flourished. The farmers’ living standards were high. Why were they able to do this? Because they were not living in an autarky, but instead relied on trade with the outside world and utilized their strengths to export their goods in exchange for what they needed.

In 1981, after I had come to work in Beijing, I went to Lankao County [in Henan Province] and spoke with farmers there. It was a sandy region, capable of high yields of peanuts. But since the policy was to make grain production a priority while focusing on self-reliant food production, they were not allowed to plant peanuts, but instead planted corn. Their corn yields were low, and the farmers were highly critical of the policy. Another example was the northwest region of Shandong Province, where the soil had a high alkali salt content. Most of the region was suitable for cotton growing at considerably high yields. But for years, policy had prevented them from growing cotton, allowing only wheat. The result was that the more wheat they planted, the lower yields they got and the more likely the farmers were to be starving.

In 1983, I spoke with comrades in Shandong and asked if they could plant cotton. They said the problem was a lack of grains. Later, we decided that northwest Shandong should switch to planting cotton. They would sell cotton to the state (at the time, the state was importing large quantities of cotton) and in return the state would provide them with grain supplies.

The result was that it took only one to two years for them to overturn a difficult economic situation and attain high yields in their cotton production. For a time, cotton flooded the market, resulting in oversupply. The farmers’ incomes quickly increased and rural conditions greatly improved. Their cotton production also yielded a by-product: cotton seeds. What was left over after extracting for cottonseed oil became fertilizer. The land that was not high in alkali salt continued to plant wheat and also saw an increase in yields from the supply of fertilizers. Everyone benefited. Local folklore held that “one catty of wheat will feed all, half a catty of cotton yields extra.” Before, when they planted one and a half catties of wheat, they were hardly able to feed themselves; later, one catty of cotton was enough and they were even able to sell the extra back to the state.”

«Central Document No. 13 [which forwarded Du Runsheng’s “Some Views on Issues in Rural Economic Policy”] and helped correct the radical “Grain First 以粮为纲” line that had prevailed for decades.»

“Shandong and Lankao were able to plant what was suited to their environment because we were practicing the open-door policy and importing large amounts of wheat from abroad — as much as several tens of millions of tons annually during those years. So long as we allowed farmers to plant whatever was appropriate and had the highest yields, agriculture improved. Without the open-door policy, we would have been forced to produce everything ourselves, and if we remained fixated on self-reliance, nothing could have happened. One reason that huge efforts yielded measly results in agriculture was public ownership. The other was the self-imposed autarky that prevented us from taking advantage of the land and resulted in “double efforts yielding half the results.”

For years we forced the planting of wheat in areas that were not suited to wheat production, so we had to make great efforts to build agricultural infrastructure and irrigation projects. Some of the projects were indeed necessary, but if we could have utilized the natural advantages of the land, we wouldn’t have needed them all. Also, the irrigation system could have been more efficient, and focused on places where it was most needed.”

However he also reported that Chen Yun was very worried that would make the PRC dependent on foreign grain supplies, a concern that turned out to be quite important, and accordingly Xi JinPing in a speech about agriculture (2023-12-23) stated how important it was for the PRC to be less dependent on food imports which are largely controlled by the USA.

Another interesting quote that with an ambition that had been realized by Huawei, DeepSeek, BYD, DJI, etc.

“There were also some people who were reluctant to give up the pretense of being a world power. They questioned how a socialist People’s Republic of China could emphasize labor- intensive production and rely on exports from rural township enterprises. They believed the right way was to organize giant enterprise groups to produce and export products with highly advanced technologies. This was totally unrealistic for our country. What were we exporting at the time? They were mainly agricultural products, not industrial products, and much of it was raw materials.

We were a developing country, and no matter how much we might have wanted to pursue high-tech products, doing so in large volumes was impossible and therefore couldn’t improve the unemployment issue in the coastal regions. We needed to start with labor-intensive products with huge export volumes.

After the economy stabilized and became more robust, we could return to the goal of exporting advanced high-tech products and those with a higher added value.”

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Godfree Roberts's avatar

Great discussion. Many thanks for publishing it.

One fundamental–perhaps the fundamental–point missing from almost every discussion of reform and opening is that Reform and Opening was Mao's policy from the beginning. Mao wrote Presidents Roosevelt, Truman and Eisenhower, asking them to bring capitalism to China and promising them a warm welcome [Tuchman]. But Mao was too strong for them, I suspect, and they waited until the incompetent Deng usurped power and wrecked the economy (22% inflation] before acquiescing.

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